tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1836424929140738524.post4710228355465993252..comments2023-10-29T12:58:50.292+00:00Comments on The Ginger Liberal from Medway: Battle field Medway - 2015 General electionChris Samshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06042471123646388825noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1836424929140738524.post-8518109380311576622013-12-12T14:15:08.586+00:002013-12-12T14:15:08.586+00:00She wasn't at the time of writing and the smar...She wasn't at the time of writing and the smart money was on Igwe being Labour's choice... Indeed I wrote on the 6th March the following post http://gingerliberal.blogspot.co.uk/2013/03/battle-field-medway-2015-my-retraction.html - EnjoyChris Samshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06042471123646388825noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1836424929140738524.post-89989797574270201082013-11-14T04:51:15.967+00:002013-11-14T04:51:15.967+00:00Naushabah Khan is the Labour candidate for Rochest...Naushabah Khan is the Labour candidate for Rochester and Strood.Andy JShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15819413906544791899noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1836424929140738524.post-15471782383837745642013-03-07T22:21:53.041+00:002013-03-07T22:21:53.041+00:00To be fair to both of you, it's still early da...To be fair to both of you, it's still early days and nothing is anywhere near easy to predict – though Mark Reckless as a 'hold' if he is re-selected seems a safe enough prediction.<br /><br />Gillingham & Rainham really will depend on how much Rehman Chishti visibly puts into the area, and not just at street stalls.<br /><br />Chatham and Aylesford I feel is likely to be a hold as well: unless something drastic comes out of nowhere during the next two years, I can't see Tracey (if re-selected) losing that seat after the huge swing in 2010 and all her work since, most of which has met cross-party/leanings approval in the constituency – and beyond, for that matter.<br /><br />There is a local tendency to underestimate the people of Medway – an error I have never made, as the record shows. They might get things wrong occasionally (and then learn from those errors) but the general tendency is for them to be more-or-less right, most of the time.<br /><br />Okay, Medway Council is currently unrepresentative of the people here, for the first time in a dozen years, but that too ought to be corrected in 2015, in part if not entirely in one go.<br /><br />Trust our people...John M Wardhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06251285057595626917noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1836424929140738524.post-24593033411815927492013-03-04T14:50:30.328+00:002013-03-04T14:50:30.328+00:00Okay, I eat my words. According to my computer mod...Okay, I eat my words. According to my computer model, Rochester & Strood is a projected Conservative hold, Gillingham & Rainham is a projected Labour gain and Chatham & Aylesford is the closest to call.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03242554278793786471noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1836424929140738524.post-26623718131293292852013-03-04T10:47:14.375+00:002013-03-04T10:47:14.375+00:00Yes, you can split the red vote, we can hammer the...Yes, you can split the red vote, we can hammer the blue vote then all 3 seats can be a free-for-all.<br /><br />I must say, I find your predictions perhaps a little optimistic. If any of the three seats are a dead cert to change hands, it's Chatham and Aylesford. The majorities enjoyed by the other two will make them hard to overthrow, but sadly Tracey has the toughest job to retain her seat.<br /><br />I might later break out my computer model, which was correct to within the margin of error in most cases in 2010, and see if I can't project a current state of play...Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03242554278793786471noreply@blogger.com